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22 February Deadline


21st Conference on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences

Conference Program
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The 21st Conference on Probability and Statistics, sponsored by the American Meteorological Society, and organized by the AMS Committee on Probability and Statistics, will be held 22–26 January 2012 in connection with 92nd AMS Annual Meeting in New Orleans, Louisiana.

Papers for this conference are solicited on all aspects of the application of probability and statistics to the atmospheric sciences including (but not limited to) probabilistic forecasting; ensemble prediction including post processing; meteorological, climatological and hydrological predictions and projections; extreme events in weather, water and climate; statistical downscaling; statistical analysis in the geophysical sciences; and forecast verification. The conference scope will also include the identification and use of probabilistic methods into climate services.

In addition to the independent sessions organized by the Committee on Probability and Statistics, a special session is planned jointly with the 10th Conference on Artificial Intelligence (AI) and Its Application to Environmental Science: Bridging the Gap between Artificial Intelligence and Statistics in Applications to Environmental Science.

The 21st Conference on Probability and Statistics will also sponsor a Joint Theme Session on Wind Power Forecasting organized in partnership with the 10th Conference on Artificial Intelligence (AI) and the Third Conference on Weather, Climate, and the New Energy Economy and Renewable Energy. This is a novel session where participants submit entries to a forecasting contest. Results will be judged according to metrics announced in advance. The data set and content details will be posted at http://ai.metr.ou.edu/ by June 2011.

 Authors of accepted presentations will be notified via e-mail by late September 2011. All extended abstracts are to be submitted electronically and will be available on-line via the Web, Instructions for formatting extended abstracts will be posted on the AMS Web site.

For additional information please contact the program chairpersons: Barbara Brown (bgb@ucar.edu), Adam Monahan (monahana@uvic.ca), Eric Gilleland (EricG@ucar.edu), and Marina Timofeyeva (Marina.Timofeyeva@noaa.gov ) (6/11)