Determining the Uncertainty of Climate Predictions and Projections and Best Practices for Users of Climate Information
We are seeking papers for this session which focus on recent advances and the state of knowledge in the uncertainty of climate predictions and projections and best practices for the use of information on uncertainty. Emphasis will be given to determining cascading uncertainty in user derived climate products in areas such as hydrological prediction, the likelihood of extremes, coastal inundation and drought prediction, as well as downstream impacts, such as health and economics. Topics of interest include current state-of-the-art probabilistic predictions, advances in methodologies for determining uncertainty, as well as best practices for expression of uncertainty in climate services and incorporating uncertainty in user models. This session is convened jointly as part of the Symposium on the Role of Statistical Methods in Weather and Climate Prediction and 25th Conference on Climate Variability and Change, so presentations that concern the crossover of probability and statistics with climate variability and change are invited.
25th Conference on Climate Variability and Change
Contact(s): Hai Lin, Hai.Lin@ec.gc.ca
Symposium on the Role of Statistical Methods in Weather and Climate Prediction
Contact(s): Dan Collins, Dan.Collins@noaa.gov